{"id":2779,"date":"2011-01-13T13:49:01","date_gmt":"2011-01-13T10:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/politeknik.org.tr\/\/?p=2779"},"modified":"2019-01-28T21:01:24","modified_gmt":"2019-01-28T18:01:24","slug":"sanayi-buyurken-yoksullastiriyor-mustafa-sonmez","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/sanayi-buyurken-yoksullastiriyor-mustafa-sonmez\/","title":{"rendered":"Sanayi B\u00fcy\u00fcrken Yoksulla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor\u2026 &#8211; Mustafa S\u00f6nmez"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif; line-height: 20px; font-size: 13px\" class=\"Apple-style-span\">Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ait sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi, sanayide 2010\u2019da, kriz \u00f6ncesine d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. 2009\u2019da y\u00fczde 10\u2019a yak\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen sanayi \u00fcretimi 2010\u2019da y\u00fczde 11\u2019e yak\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, yani kriz \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim seviyesine geri d\u00f6n\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. Alt sekt\u00f6rler itibariyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye lokomotifli\u011fi\u00a0<strong>dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong>\u00a0yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Yani ba\u015fta otomotiv olmak \u00fczere, beyaz e\u015fya, elektronik, ev tekstili, mobilya vb. sekt\u00f6rler, kriz \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim seviyelerini yakalad\u0131klar\u0131 gibi bir hayli geride bile b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015flar. Ara mal\u0131 ve giyim, g\u0131da gibi dayan\u0131ks\u0131z t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131nda da kriz \u00f6ncesi ge\u00e7ilmi\u015f. Enerji \u00fcretimi ayn\u0131 seviyede kal\u0131rken sermaye mallar\u0131 \u00fcretiminde kriz \u00f6ncesine d\u00f6n\u00fclememi\u015f. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/_RgvpryX63Uc\/TSxE4N69BcI\/AAAAAAAAAlw\/oLaE-TCrAgw\/s1600\/201101111.bmp\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/_RgvpryX63Uc\/TSxE4N69BcI\/AAAAAAAAAlw\/oLaE-TCrAgw\/s400\/201101111.bmp\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><br \/><em>Kaynak:T\u00dc\u0130K, 2010 verisi y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<br \/><\/em><br \/>Sanayinin aylar itibariyle seyri ise ba\u015fka bir \u015feye dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.. Sanayi 2009\u2019un son \u00e7eyre\u011finden itibaren tempo kazan\u0131rken, 2010\u2019un ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda yava\u015f yava\u015f tempo kaybediyor. Yani bu, \u00e7arklar\u0131n gelecekte ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda d\u00f6nmeyebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Sanayinin kriz \u00f6ncesini yakalamas\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli etken\u00a0<strong>s\u0131cak para trafi\u011fi.<\/strong>\u00a0S\u0131cak para giri\u015fi-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcp k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin omurgas\u0131 sanayi, yine s\u0131cak para giri\u015fi ile b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f ama s\u0131cak para trafi\u011finin yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile h\u0131z kaybedece\u011fe benzer. Hele ki, i\u00e7 talebin, \u00f6zellikle dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na talebin, kredi kartlar\u0131 ve t\u00fcketici kredileri ile k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131na gelindi\u011fi an\u0131msand\u0131\u011f\u0131nda\u2026<\/p>\n<p>***<br \/>Gelelim sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin\u00a0<strong>kalitesine<\/strong>\u2026A\u00e7\u0131klanan d\u0131\u015f ticaret miktar ve fiyat endeksi g\u00f6stergeleri, bu sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ithalat\u0131n\u0131 hem miktar hem fiyat olarak h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ihracat\u0131n miktar olarak ithalat\u0131n gerisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, birim ihracat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da ithalat\u0131nkinden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyretti\u011fini , dolay\u0131s\u0131yla\u00a0<strong>fiyat makas\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcnden yoksulla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong>\u00a0g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/_RgvpryX63Uc\/TSxFT7gT8UI\/AAAAAAAAAl4\/4N7D9z_CppU\/s1600\/201101112.bmp\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/_RgvpryX63Uc\/TSxFT7gT8UI\/AAAAAAAAAl4\/4N7D9z_CppU\/s400\/201101112.bmp\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sanayi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret foto\u011fraf\u0131n\u0131n ana belirleyicisi. \u0130thalat\u0131n \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131 sanayi i\u00e7in yap\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130hracat ise neredeyse tamamen sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinden olu\u015fuyor. Toplamda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda , 2010\u2019un ilk 11 ay\u0131nda ihracat 112 milyar dolar\u0131 bulurken ithalat\u0131n 180 milyar dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla\u00a0<strong>68 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a0<\/strong>verildi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sanayinin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 2009\u2019da ithalat ve ihracat da d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ikisinin aras\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131k 39 milyar dolara inmi\u015fti. Oysa kriz \u00f6ncesinde bu rakam 70 milyar dolard\u0131. Yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fanan 2010\u2019da da neredeyse 70 milyar dolarl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa geri d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Daha da \u00f6nemlisi, T\u00fcrkiye birim ithalat\u0131 fiyat\u0131, birim ihracat fiyat\u0131ndan daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin 2010\u2019un 3. \u00e7eyre\u011finde miktar olarak ihracat y\u00fczde 5 artarken ithalat y\u00fczde 15 artm\u0131\u015f. Yani 3 kat\u0131. Fiyatlara gelince g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor ki, ihracat\u0131n birim olarak fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 1,5 artarken yap\u0131lan ithalat\u0131n birim fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye yak\u0131n artm\u0131\u015f. Yani, T\u00fcrkiye, sanayi \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in hem daha \u00e7ok ithalata y\u00f6nelmi\u015f hem de bu ithalat\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlardan yapm\u0131\u015f. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k limanlardan g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi mal miktar\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalm\u0131\u015f hem de birim ihracat\u0131n\u0131 daha ucuz fiyatlara yapm\u0131\u015f. \u0130\u015fte bu\u00a0<strong>sanayinin yoksulla\u015fma pahas\u0131na<\/strong>\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi demektir.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye sanayisi, bunu ancak\u00a0<strong>i\u015f\u00e7isini ucuza \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rarak<\/strong>, devletten \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc-a\u00e7\u0131k baz\u0131 destekler alarak yapabiliyor. Sanayi i\u015f\u00e7ileri, 2008 \u00fccretleri ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken enflasyonun g\u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fckleri ile birlikte y\u00fczde 11 reel gelir kayb\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131lar. Sanayinin yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini daha az i\u015f\u00e7i ile yaparak\u00a0<strong>istihdams\u0131z b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden\u00a0<\/strong>hi\u00e7 s\u00f6z etmedik bile\u2026Devletin bu yoksulla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye verdi\u011fi desteklerin parasal ifadesi ise ayr\u0131 bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma konusu.<\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ait sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi, sanayide 2010\u2019da, kriz \u00f6ncesine d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. 2009\u2019da y\u00fczde 10\u2019a yak\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen sanayi \u00fcretimi 2010\u2019da y\u00fczde 11\u2019e yak\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, yani kriz \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim seviyesine geri d\u00f6n\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. Alt sekt\u00f6rler itibariyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye lokomotifli\u011fi\u00a0dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Yani ba\u015fta otomotiv olmak \u00fczere, beyaz e\u015fya, elektronik, ev tekstili, mobilya vb. sekt\u00f6rler, kriz \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim seviyelerini yakalad\u0131klar\u0131 gibi bir hayli geride bile b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015flar. Ara mal\u0131 ve giyim, g\u0131da gibi dayan\u0131ks\u0131z t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131nda da kriz \u00f6ncesi ge\u00e7ilmi\u015f. Enerji \u00fcretimi ayn\u0131 seviyede kal\u0131rken sermaye mallar\u0131 \u00fcretiminde kriz \u00f6ncesine d\u00f6n\u00fclememi\u015f.\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":40571,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4689],"tags":[206,988,1194,1195],"class_list":{"0":"post-2779","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-secki","8":"tag-issizlik","9":"tag-mustafa-sonmez","10":"tag-sanayi-buyumesi","11":"tag-yoksullurk"},"acf":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2779","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2779"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2779\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40571"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eonmeet.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}